Benchmark checker Knowledge and reasoning

Is GPQA Diamond still meaningful?

Status:Near ceiling Checked against the report, 5 November 2026

Verdict

Barely. Top models sit within one point of the 97% ceiling, inside the noise.

Why near ceiling: Gemini 4 Argon scores 96.4% (Oct 2026). Epoch AI estimates the ceiling at 97%, because some questions are ambiguous.[1][1] Benchmark data bundle Epoch AI Primary

What “Near ceiling” means

Known problems

  • Epoch AI sets the ceiling at 97%, so the top models sit in the noise.[1][1] Benchmark data bundle Epoch AI Primary
  • It went from 50% to 90% in 17 months; the last points near the ceiling come slowly.[1][1] Benchmark data bundle Epoch AI Primary
  • Anthropic dropped it from its Claude Opus 5.5 launch table (22 Sep 2026); OpenAI still reports it.[2][2] Introducing Claude Opus 5.5 Anthropic Vendor[3][3] GPT-6 Astra benchmarks explained Vellum Secondary

What to look at instead

  • Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) Status:Flawed Use with care. Nearly half of a sampled set was defective, so top scores partly reflect broken items.
  • HLE-Diamond Status:New / unproven Promising but unproven. It launched in September 2026 and has no independent audit yet.

Where it appears in the report

Chapter 1, Benchmarks

Sources

Copied from the chapter source lists. Each number links back to the source in its chapter.

  1. [1]
    Benchmark data bundle, Epoch AI. Dated scores (5 Nov 2026) and ceilings for most benchmarks here. Primary epoch.ai Chapter 1, source 1
  2. [2]
    Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, Anthropic. It gives Anthropic's launch table and caveats. Vendor anthropic.com Chapter 1, source 12
  3. [3]
    GPT-6 Astra benchmarks explained, Vellum. It transcribes OpenAI's launch table and discusses its framing. Secondary vellum.ai Chapter 1, source 14