Is GPQA Diamond still meaningful?
Status:Near ceiling Checked against the report, 5 November 2026
Verdict
Barely. Top models sit within one point of the 97% ceiling, inside the noise.
Why near ceiling: Gemini 4 Argon scores 96.4% (Oct 2026). Epoch AI estimates the ceiling at 97%, because some questions are ambiguous.[1][1] Benchmark data bundle Epoch AI Primary
What “Near ceiling” meansKnown problems
- Epoch AI sets the ceiling at 97%, so the top models sit in the noise.[1][1] Benchmark data bundle Epoch AI Primary
- It went from 50% to 90% in 17 months; the last points near the ceiling come slowly.[1][1] Benchmark data bundle Epoch AI Primary
- Anthropic dropped it from its Claude Opus 5.5 launch table (22 Sep 2026); OpenAI still reports it.[2][2] Introducing Claude Opus 5.5 Anthropic Vendor[3][3] GPT-6 Astra benchmarks explained Vellum Secondary
What to look at instead
- Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) Status:Flawed Use with care. Nearly half of a sampled set was defective, so top scores partly reflect broken items.
- HLE-Diamond Status:New / unproven Promising but unproven. It launched in September 2026 and has no independent audit yet.
Where it appears in the report
Chapter 1, Benchmarks
- Figure 1. Each New Benchmark Fills Up Faster Than the Last
- Figure 2. Recent benchmarks went from 50% to 90% in under a year
- Figure 3. How Fast Do Benchmarks Saturate?
- Table 2. First model to cross each threshold in “Go deeper: The full saturation timeline (14 benchmarks)”
- Table 5. Reasoning and knowledge benchmarks: what they measure, who maintains them, the top score on 5 November 2026 and the known flaw in “Go deeper: Reasoning and knowledge benchmarks (17)”
- Figure 14. OpenAI and Anthropic share only five headline benchmarks
Sources
Copied from the chapter source lists. Each number links back to the source in its chapter.
- [1] Benchmark data bundle, Epoch AI. Dated scores (5 Nov 2026) and ceilings for most benchmarks here. Primary epoch.ai Chapter 1, source 1
- [2] Introducing Claude Opus 5.5, Anthropic. It gives Anthropic's launch table and caveats. Vendor anthropic.com Chapter 1, source 12
- [3] GPT-6 Astra benchmarks explained, Vellum. It transcribes OpenAI's launch table and discusses its framing. Secondary vellum.ai Chapter 1, source 14