Is MATH Level 5 still meaningful?
Status:Saturated Checked against the report, 5 November 2026
Verdict
No. Top models score 98.1%, so it cannot separate them.
Why saturated: GPT-5 scores 98.1% (Aug 2025). Epoch AI calls the benchmark "now reaching saturation".[1][1] Benchmark data bundle Epoch AI Primary[2][2] Benchmarking Hub Epoch AI Primary
What “Saturated” meansKnown problems
- Models went from 50% (May 2024) to 90% (Dec 2024) in seven months.[1][1] Benchmark data bundle Epoch AI Primary
What to look at instead
- FrontierMath Tiers 1–3 Status:Near ceiling Fading. The top score is 93.7%, and the funder can see part of the set.
- MathArena Status:Still useful Yes. Fresh contests limit contamination, but small contests give wide error bars.
Where it appears in the report
Chapter 1, Benchmarks
- Figure 1. Each New Benchmark Fills Up Faster Than the Last
- Figure 2. Recent benchmarks went from 50% to 90% in under a year
- Table 2. First model to cross each threshold in “Go deeper: The full saturation timeline (14 benchmarks)”
- Table 3. How each area replaced its saturated benchmarks, oldest first in “Go deeper: Lineage of replacements, by area”
- Table 5. Reasoning and knowledge benchmarks: what they measure, who maintains them, the top score on 5 November 2026 and the known flaw in “Go deeper: Reasoning and knowledge benchmarks (17)”
Sources
Copied from the chapter source lists. Each number links back to the source in its chapter.
- [1] Benchmark data bundle, Epoch AI. Dated scores (5 Nov 2026) and ceilings for most benchmarks here. Primary epoch.ai Chapter 1, source 1
- [2] Benchmarking Hub, Epoch AI. It explains the hub, the ECI and which benchmarks Epoch runs itself. Primary epoch.ai Chapter 1, source 26