Is FrontierMath Tier 4 still meaningful?
Status:Saturated Checked against the report, 5 November 2026
Verdict
No. A model solved every problem three months after version 2 launched.
Why saturated: GPT-6.1 Sol scores 100% (Sep 2026), three months after version 2 appeared.[1][1] Benchmark data bundle Epoch AI Primary
What “Saturated” meansKnown problems
What to look at instead
- FrontierMath Erdős Status:Still useful Yes. It still leaves almost all of its room at the top, though the set is small.
Where it appears in the report
Chapter 1, Benchmarks
- Figure 1. Each New Benchmark Fills Up Faster Than the Last
- Figure 2. Recent benchmarks went from 50% to 90% in under a year
- Table 2. First model to cross each threshold in “Go deeper: The full saturation timeline (14 benchmarks)”
- Table 5. Reasoning and knowledge benchmarks: what they measure, who maintains them, the top score on 5 November 2026 and the known flaw in “Go deeper: Reasoning and knowledge benchmarks (17)”
- Figure 14. OpenAI and Anthropic share only five headline benchmarks
Sources
Copied from the chapter source lists. Each number links back to the source in its chapter.
- [1] Benchmark data bundle, Epoch AI. Dated scores (5 Nov 2026) and ceilings for most benchmarks here. Primary epoch.ai Chapter 1, source 1
- [2] FrontierMath Tiers 1-3 v2, Epoch AI. It describes the fixes in version 2. Primary epoch.ai Chapter 1, source 30